So I figure that I'm going to do something a little different. I'll leave a lot of the sports-previews to Chief and Bop. While I will undoubtedly be watching the same sports as these two over the space of a weekend, I figure that they'll probably cover much of what I'm going to say and in greater depth. Having lived with them for the last few years, I'll leave the deeper analysis to them, and look more in depth at a bit of tipping, and at times the business side to sport.
So for a start, I'll try and lose you all some money. We'll certainly start out small, but I reckon a tenner a week is a good place to start.
I'll look at chucking down a fiver on an outsider, and a fiver on a multi- and explain my reasons for both. There'll probably be a penchant for betting on the football, but I'll certainly throw the odd bet out on cricket, ruggers, league, really any sport. This obviously excludes motor****t as the categorisation of this as a sport is a debate for another time.
So, The Long Shot this week...
Arsenal vs Spurs @ $5.75 = $28.70
One reason. One man. One Dreamboat. Gareth Bale. This man has been immense in the big matches (mainly European) this year, and Walcott recently described him as the most entertaining player in the EPL. While Spurs have had average form over the past month or so, it's a derby game- and this man's quality could be the difference in this crunch game.
I'm not suggesting Spurs will necessarily win this weekend, but at $5.75 they're bloody good value. Extra satisfaction comes from the fact that it'll also infuriate Bopman, and infuriating him is one of my favourite pastimes.
And this week's Multi...
Heart vs Adelaide Draw @ $3.20
Picking a near certain draw here- 1 all (but I'm not that ballsy). Adelaide are on the downward slide, they're missing Leckie and he proved to be a heck of a match-winner in the first half of the HAL, but missing him, and with Flores not pulling the strings that he was, I don't see an Adelaide domination. On the other hand, Heart are on the up and up, but don't have enough up front to bully the strong Red's defence.
Birmingham vs Chelsea +1 goals start @ $2.20
This is a suggestion by Chief, which I actually think is a top idea. They were absolutely dominated by Wellbeck and co. last week, and missing both Terry and Alex showed their defence to be a shambles. With this in mind, Chelsea won't be pushing as far forward this week away from home, and I think a draw isn't out of the equation.
Brisbane Roar vs NQF @ $1.45
Probably as much of a sure thing as you should ever see in the A-League. Fury are pants, Roar are playing some quite incredible football at the moment. It'll also help my Roar-stacked Fantasy team as well...
Melbourne Tigers vs Perth Wildcats @ $1.42
Melbourne 0 and 5, Perth, well, they've got a positive record and that's good enough for me and my rather limited basketball knowledge...
Auckland City vs Otago @ $1.37
This one's from the local ASB Premiership. Otago have typically been awful in the top league, and there is no reason why this season should be any different. It's a sizeable trip for them up to Aux, so this one is a given for bumping up your bets.
Coming to a total of $99.30
Note: I take no responsibility for losing you your money. My betting history has been largely awful, concentrating on a losing Phoenix team, and a B-Mac top score- which finally paid off last weekend...
Happy betting
Good call picking a Spurs win. Spend those winnings wisely!
ReplyDeleteCheers Scooter.
ReplyDeleteInteresting weekend!
Multi shot through immediately- note to self to keep the long-shots until the last day so that my thousands of followers aren't left gutted within hours of writing!
Adelaide destroyed the Heart- I guess good news for the Nix tomorrow, unless the Heart starts beating after the Reds attack on Friday. On a side note, all aren't all Heart puns just painful?
Perth swooshed Melbourne in the ANBL- I guess this wasn't surprising given the records. I was almost going to suggest good money on the Breakers to lose (I think they were paying $3.20 to lose)- which would have been easy money.
Birmingham- thank you to former Man U man Ben Foster here, shut Chelski out. There'd have been good money on a Birmingham win- but tough to part with the money in a third from bottom vs top-of-the-table clash!
Roar vs Fury. I think it's the last time I'll call a team pants because that came back to bite me in the 'arse. Roar were too good for the Fury everywhere but on the scoreboard, ending 1-1.
Auckland City vs Otago. Pleased to see I could lose you a bit of money here as well! Otago managed to pull through and force a draw out of a frustrated Auckland City.
So the multi flopped (unsurprisingly). Had you had these bets down individually though... You'd still have lost, so that isn't ideal either.
However. This week's saviour, and outsider, managed to pull through. Although I missed it, it was a cracking game of football by all accounts, with Bale netting a cracker and Van der Vaart immense, and at $5.75, was almost certainly paying too much.
In summary- after week one of following Tobz TAB tips, you can expect to have a 187% return on investment... Not a bad start.